by Beth Gaston Moon | March 19, 2012 2:00 pm
Target (NYSE:TGT) isn’t afraid of commitment. In fact, the discount retailer announced today that its long-term dividend plan is for an annual payout of $3 per share by 2017 (that’s five years from now, if you can believe it).
TGT has a solid history of raising its dividend. In 1999, its annual payout was 20 cents; in 2011, it was $1.10. That is technically a 450% growth rate over 12 years. A move to $3 from present levels would be a 173% advance in five years. The dollar-amount-difference, however, moves from 90 cents to $1.90. With almost 670 million shares outstanding, that is a lot of cash to earmark.
Target’s earnings have been relatively reliable over the past several years, growing from $2.71 per share in 2006 to an estimated $4.23 in 2013. What’s more, the retailer’s quarterly earnings have topped analysts’ expectations in all of the past four quarters.
Year-over-year earnings growth is projected at 5.9% for the next three to five years, according to data compiled by CNBC’s Earnings Center. TGT says it hopes to stretch its annual earnings to $8 per share by 2017.
So from a fundamental perspective, TGT appears fairly stable, and analysts tend to agree. Of 22 analysts following the stock, six rate it a “strong buy,” eight a “buy,” and eight a “hold,” leaving zero “sell” or “underperform” ratings.
What’s interesting is how the retailer’s dividend growth relates to its stock price. While TGT is currently 40% higher than it was in 1999, the ride hasn’t been free of bumps. The shares followed the broader market into the red in 2008, hitting a five-year low, and lost some ground in 2011 from its late-2010 peak.
Dividends are one method companies use to placate their shareholders during times of turbulence or stalled growth. They can also be evidence of a company’s reliability, as dividend payouts indicate a surplus of cash on the books. In fact, TGT officials said the company “continues to generate far more cash than we need to fund” day-to-day operations.
In other Target news, the company said it completed a $10 billion share-repurchase program launched in 2007. The latest buyback, announced in January, authorizes the company to buy back $5 billion of its own stock in the next two to three years.
As of this writing, Beth Gaston Moon does not own any shares mentioned here.
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