In today’s 24/7 news cycle, where even the smallest events can get hours and hours of coverage, presidential elections are like the king’s feast. There are TV ads to talk about, stump speeches to rate, debates to grade, and more polls than you can shake a pole at. All, of course, with one goal in mind: figure out who the next president will be.
Rather than look at polls, campaign strategies, or even the candidates themselves, Yahoo! scientists created a prediction engine based on factors that were better predictors of electoral success, like economic factors and the electorate’s political ideology. They fed this engine the results of the last 10 presidential races, along with corresponding economic, political, and social indicators, and found their algorithm was successful 88% of the time in matching historical results. Read