Herman Cain’s Success Lies in the Black Vote

Obama's dismal four years gives Cain a legitimate chance

     

All of which gets me to former Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City board chairman, math wiz and Department of the Navy ballistics expert Herman Cain. In the 2008 presidential election, approximately 15.9 million blacks turned out, of which 95% (about 15.1 million) voted for Obama. Herman Cain has a master’s degree in computer science from Purdue University. He is a nationally esteemed business leader and was the former CEO and president of the National Restaurant Association. And last, but far from least, Herman Cain is a minister at the Antioch Baptist Church North outside of Atlanta.

Let’s go out on a limb and suggest that all of the blacks who voted for Obama would read and give fair consideration to what I have presented above as it relates to both Obama and Cain. It is a stretch to believe that Obama’s tragic record and weightless background would draw much interest in contrast to Cain’s deep background of achievements. It would be logical to expect that Cain would out-pull Obama by a wide margin.

But let’s go even further out on a limb and say it’s a toss-up. If so, using last year’s black voting breakout, Cain might hope to pull perhaps 7.5 million of the 15.1 million black votes that in 2008 went to Obama. Then let’s assume that the remainder of voters vote as they did last time (this will not happen, to Obama’s despair). We then would be adding 7.5 million votes to the 59.9 million John McCain received and shaving those same 7.5 million votes from the 69.4 million Barack Obama received.

My adjusted tally ends up at 67.4 million votes for Cain and 61.9 million votes for Obama. In fact, the gap would be far larger. In 2008, the Tea Party was not a factor. The Glenn Beck Express had yet to be born. The powerful force of Rush Limbaugh was not in play thanks to the weak conservative hand played by McCain. And then there was the dismal record of Bush, which allowed for easy pulverization.

What hand does Obama have to play based on my presentation above? His is a dismal record on which to run. Let’s be fair here: Just what does Obama have to tell Americans as to why they need four more years of the misery this fellow has wrought? I like the math for Herman Cain in the 2012 election. How about you?

Counterpoint: Why Herman Cain Will Struggle to Win the Black Vote

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