Oct 25, 2011, 1:17 pm EDT
One of the GOP’s most important issues for the 2012 presidential election is destined for a date with the Supreme Court. The U.S. Department of Justice made a surprise decision a few weeks ago to ask the high court to hear a case regarding President Barack Obama’s Affordable Care Act (a.k.a. “Obamacare”) during its current term.
Four different lawsuits currently are in line for possible Supreme Court review. Although there are several types of challenges and possible outcomes, the most important and likely to be ruled upon is the “individual mandate” aspect of the law. This provision of the law requires almost all Americans to purchase health insurance. It is the logical and fiscal base of the reset of the legislation. If the mandate is struck down, much, if not all, of the rest of the law would be costly to implement. A decision of some kind most likely will come down before the 2012 presidential election.
Republican presidential candidates have been united in opposing the health care reform bill and demanding its full repeal. They have two basic arguments. First, they claim the bill is unconstitutional because Congress does not have the express power to require individuals to buy a product. Second, they assert the cost of implementing the law and the uncertainty of how it actually works is preventing firms from hiring. It appears the Supreme Court will weigh in on the first argument and, depending on its ruling, we might get to see whether the second has any real merit. Read
Oct 25, 2011, 6:00 am EDT
One of the most important players in any market is the Federal Reserve. It controls the amount and cost of money in the system, so it naturally has to be at the center of our attention at all times.
That’s what makes the release of its meeting notes so fascinating, if you have the slightest bit of policy wonk in you at all. It’s like putting your ear to the door and hearing (albeit three weeks after policies are announced) what the grownups are talking about.
BMO Financial senior economist Michael Gregory always does a nice job analyzing Fed minutes. His interpretation of the October notes is that the Fed, at its Nov. 2 meeting, is not likely to embark on another round of quantitative easing, if only “to allow some time for the past two actions to percolate.” But he thinks more easing is inevitable, which ultimately is going to be a plus for stocks — possibly from lower levels. Read
Oct 24, 2011, 1:21 pm EDT
Libya will be a multibillion-dollar payday for U.S. stocks if the political situation stabilizes itself. And stocks like Exxon (NYSE:XOM), General Electric (NYSE:GE) and Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) will be first in line to benefit from the rebuilding.
Thanks to more than four decades of misrule by the late Libyan dictator Moammar Gadhafi, the North African nation is a mess. Though it boasts Africa’s largest proven reserves of oil, the petroleum sector remains in dire need of investment. Libya’s National Oil Company had planned to double production to 3 million barrels per day by 2012, a goal that became unrealistic as foreign oil companies fled during the civil war. Libyan light, sweet crude is of high quality and easy for oil companies to refine and thus in very high demand.
Gadhafi squandered billions in Libya’s oil wealth for more than four decades — the country’s unemployment rate is about 30%, and according to the CIA World FactBook, one-third of Libyans live at or below the national poverty line. But thanks to a revolution, the economy could provide opportunity to the region. Read
Oct 21, 2011, 10:41 am EDT
With friends like Donald Trump and Vikram Pandit, does Occupy Wall Street need enemies?
Both The Donald and the Citigroup (NYSE:C) CEO recently have said that they sympathized with the views of the Occupy Wall Street movement — bizarre statements considering Trump and Pandit are examples of the corporate greed that has infuriated the masses.
Take Trump. There is no greater living symbol of the excesses of capitalism. For Pete’s sake, the man sells his own branded water and the Donald J. Trump Signature collection of apparel! Never mind the ease with which he navigates bankruptcy (his companies or properties have filed for bankruptcy four times). No, Trump decided that he could speak for the common man. Read
Oct 20, 2011, 12:03 pm EDT
There’s a lot of fuss about United States Postal Service profitability (or lack thereof) these days. Ideas to streamline the USPS include closing post offices in rural locations, eliminating Saturday mail delivery and other cutbacks.
But cuts aren’t the only way to bridge the budget gap at the USPS. To create more revenue, U.S. postage rates are about to go up — again!
Starting Jan. 22, the price of a first-class stamp will go up a penny, from 44 cents to 45 cents. Postcard stamps will jump more than 10%, from 29 cents to 32 cents. Read
Oct 19, 2011, 4:34 pm EDT
Social Security checks will see their first increase in three years this January. The Social Security COLA, or Cost of Living Adjustment, will amount to 3.6%.
But seniors should be outraged by the Social Security increase — because it isn’t an increase at all. The fact is the government program is paying less than it has in years past, and the recent COLA “increase” doesn’t make up for the ground that seniors have already lost.
Thanks to inflation pushing up prices and a stagnant economy hindering income, many senior citizens rely on their monthly Social Security check more than ever before. And on its face, an increase going into 2012 seems like a good thing. But here’s why the recent Social Security COLA is woefully deficient — and just a political move to appease older voters who have every right to be furious: Read