A study of analyst recommendations at the major brokerages shows that Vale SA (ADR) (NYSE:VALE) is the 40th broker analyst pick, on average, out of the 50 stocks making up the Metals Channel Global Mining Titans Index, according to Metals Channel.
The Metals Channel Global Mining Titans Index is comprised of the top fifty global leaders from the metals and mining sector. The companies listed in the Metals Channel Global Mining Titans Index are not fixed, but instead variable — updating on a continuous basis to reflect the changing market environment with respect to commodity prices, government policy and market volatility.
In forming this rank, the analyst opinions from the major brokerage houses were tallied, and averaged; then, the underlying components of the Metals Channel Global Mining Titans Index were ranked according to those averages. Investors often interpret analyst opinions from different angles — when a company has a low rank among analysts, it isn’t necessarily the case that investors should conclude that the stock will perform poorly.
It can, of course, but a bullish investor could also take the contrarian angle and read into the data that there is lots of room for upside because the stock is so out of favor.
From the other direction, a popular analyst pick could mean that many sharp minds individually came to the same bullish conclusion, and therefore the stock should do well, but it could also mean that if the company stumbles, that would come as a negative surprise.
According to the ETF Finder at ETF Channel, VALE makes up 10.85% of the Market Vectors Steel (ETF) (NYSEARCA:SLX).
Below is a three-month price history chart comparing the stock performance of VALE versus TX and PCP.