Michael A. Gayed

Michael A. Gayed

Michael A. Gayed is the Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, an award winning market research service that provides risk signals, high yield ideas, macro observations, and more. He is the author of five award-winning research papers on market anomalies and investing. Michael was an active contributor to MarketWatch for a number of years and has been interviewed on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business, as well as the Wall Street Journal Live for his unique approach to interpreting market movements.

Michael earned his Bachelor’s of Science degree with a double major in Finance & Management at NYU Stern School of Business. Michael became a CFA Charterholder in 2008.

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Recent Articles

Japan Sparked the Spike. But a Reverse Carry Trade Is Not the Main Event.

By Michael A. Gayed

Monday's spike in the VIX was historic, but the real risk lies in U.S. junk debt becoming severely mispriced.

The Pain for Tech Stocks Has Only Just Begun

By Michael A. Gayed

If tech stocks are losing favor on Wall Street, it could be time to eye healthcare before real market pain starts.

Small-Cap Stocks Are Surging. Here’s What That Means for Hedge Funds.

By Michael A. Gayed

After a year of underperformance, small-caps have made historic moves in recent weeks, driving hedge funds into a major deleveraging cycle.

The Yen Reverse Carry Trade Is Closer Than You Think

By Michael A. Gayed

The yen has been quietly surging. Could this be a precursor to the long-anticipated Japan reverse carry trade?

Small-Cap Stocks Are Advancing, But It’s Not Necessarily a Bullish Sign

By Michael A. Gayed

Small-cap stocks have started to outperform in a meaningful way. What that means long term depends on other indicators.

Whether It’s Trump or Harris, Investors Are All Screwed

By Michael A. Gayed

Investors have been focusing in on tech stocks as the presidential election closes in. The real spotlight should be on government spending.

We Are Long Overdue for a VIX Spike. Don’t Get Caught Unprepared.

By Michael A. Gayed

A sustained VIX spike above the 20 level would rock the stock market. Use the indicators popping up now to get prepared.

Small-Cap Rotation or Death Sentence for Hedge Funds? It’s Too Early to Tell.

By Michael A. Gayed

If this is more than normal rotation from large-caps into small-cap stocks, it could spark the end of several hedge funds.

Regional Banks and Tech Stocks: This Contrarian Trade Looks Better Every Day

By Michael A. Gayed

Going long on regional banks and shorting tech might be one of the most interesting contrarian trades today.

Small-Caps Are Rallying But They May Be Setting a Stock Market Trap

By Michael A. Gayed

Small-cap stocks are rallying and investors may see this as a return of risk-on. Treasurys tell us that this may be nothing more than a trap.

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