Overbought Caterpillar Set to Sell Off … Again

Advertisement

Now is the right time for a shorter-term sentiment play on Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT), a stock that has been up every day this year and eight straight days total, rising over 10% in just 2012 alone.

The company makes and sells construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives worldwide. It operates through three lines of businesses: Machinery, Engines and Financial Products.

Yesterday’s news out of China, where the company is establishing a foothold to gain exposure to its growing and potentially very lucrative construction market, provided a further impetus higher in the shares — which are now trading at the most overbought level on a 9-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) since last April.

The stock showed similar price action then, only to be met with a sharp 8% sell-off over the next few weeks and sideways action for the next several months.

I look for CAT to struggle going forward given the magnitude of the recent rally and the multiple expansion (now at a decent premium to the market), with the stock leveling off and closing down slightly at $95 by February expiration.

Based on CAT’s current market price of $99.96 and using a target price of $95, a target date of Feb. 17, 2012, and $1,000 of investment capital, this is an excellent candidate for capturing some short-term returns by buying the CAT May 100 Put or buying a February put spread.

For the full details on this trade, visit TradingBlock.com, create a free Instant Login and try the TradeBuilder feature, where you’ll see several ways to trade this name. Best of all, you can see a potential profit-and-loss outline for each strategy.

Create your free login, and get access to these CAT option trading strategies by visiting the TradeBuilder here.

Tim spent 13 years as Chief Options Strategist at Man Securities in Chicago, four years as Lead Options Strategist at ThinkorSwim and three years as a Market Maker for First Options in Chicago. Tim makes weekly appearances on Bloomberg TV  “Options Insight”, Business First AM “Trader Talk”, TD Ameritade Network “Morning Trade Live” and CBOE-TV “Vol 411” to discuss everything from volatility and option related.


Article printed from InvestorPlace Media, https://investorplace.com/2012/01/overbought-caterpillar-set-to-sell-off-again/.

©2024 InvestorPlace Media, LLC