How to Cash In on Commodities
Commodity stocks are returning to favor with investors for a variety of reasons. Some like the reliable dividends of major energy producers. Others like the stable revenue stream provided by raw materials stocks even when consumer spending may be weak. And then there’s the macro investors who anticipate a surge in certain commodities such as crude oil or gold, and nice profits for stocks in those sectors. Whatever your motivation to seek out commodity stocks, these investments can be an important part of diversifying your portfolio and keeping your risks low in a volatile market. To help you pick the best commodity investments as the market starts to gear up, here are some InvestorPlace experts with their top seven commodity picks. |
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Commodity Pick 1 – Agribusiness ETF
Recommended by: Richard Young, editor of Intelligence Report The Market Vectors Agribusiness ETF (NYSE: MOO) is a great long-term commodity investment. After all the hubbub in the ag sector when BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP) made a hostile move to take over Potash Corp. (NYSE: POT), Wall Street is anticipating buyouts in the sector as well as general strength for the agriculture industry. Corn and wheat prices remain high, guaranteeing big margins for crop producers. What’s more, these producers keep using more and more fertilizer, weed killer and genetically modified seeds to bump up their harvests — meaning related industries are red hot. Oh, and by the way, even when consumer spending is weak these stocks will thrive seeing as everyone needs to eat. The MOO ETF is the best way to play the ag sector’s strength, reducing your risk with diversification instead of relying on a single stock. |
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Commodity Pick 2 – Gold Trust ETF
Recommended by: Robert Hsu, editor of China Strategy One of the best buys you can make this month is the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSE: GLD), the best pure way to play the bull market in gold. Based on its technical chart pattern, gold looks like it has another leg up — and is quickly closing in on the June high of 1,271. If gold breaks through that mark, the sky could be the limit. That said, there is only so much upside we can see in gold in the next few months or years, so please only buy GLD under $125. If you pay more than that, you will have missed the ideal entry point. As of this week, though, we’re still under that mark, so get into SPDR Gold Trust ETF shares while you can. |
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Commodity Pick 3 – Mesabi Trust
Recommended by: Louis Navellier, editor of Emerging Growth Mesabi Trust (NYSE: MSB) leases mining operations in the Mesabi Mining Range located in Silver Bay, Minnestoa and provides iron ore products to the steel industry. Production has picked up tremendously in recent months, which has greatly increased investor interest in this stock. What’s more, income investors are pleased because Mesabi Trust paid an incredible $0.80 dividend in its latest quarter, bringing its annual dividend yield to 12.6%. In its most recent quarter, Mesabi’s revenue rose 67.1% and its earnings rose a whopping 500%, so there are a lot of reasons to get excited about this small cap stock. If iron prices go up, expect even bigger profits from MSB. |
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Commodity Pick 4 – SinoCoking
Recommended by: Robert Hsu, editor of China Strategy The biggest winner from China’s coal industry consolidation is SinoCoking and Coke Chemical Industries (NASDAQ: SCOK), a company based in Henan Province. The company produces coal, coke and byproducts to industrial companies. The cost of coal is an important part of the total production cost for SCOK, and stability of coal supply determines the profitability of coke manufacturers such as SinoCoking. The upside of the coal business is clear as Chinese steel demand remains strong in the short term, but one of the biggest reasons I like SinoCoking is a bright future in 2011. The company is building a new coking facility scheduled for completion in spring of next year that will more than quadruple its annual coking production from 250,000 tons to 1.15 million tons and improve its profit margin. This could cause SinoCoking to really break out. |
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Commodity Pick 5 – Exxon
Recommended by: Richard Band, editor of Profitable Investing ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) is the most obvious oil stock, but so many investors overlook it in pursuit of some diamond in the rough. But I believe it’s one of the highest-potential blue chips out there. The world’s largest oil company came in with blowout Q2 profits of $7.6 billion, almost 10% ahead of analyst estimates. Some pundits worry about XOM’s hefty exposure to natural gas. (The XTO acquisition, now complete, vaulted Exxon into first place among U.S. gas producers.) However, the domestic gas glut may be ebbing, and underground storage is running about 6% below last year’s levels. Looking forward, high-cost producers are shutting down wells, leaving the field to more-efficient operators like XOM as crude oil prices stay relatively low. Trading at less than 10X estimated year-ahead earnings and holding $13.2 billion of cash (up $2.4 billion just since the close of 2009), Exxon is a financial fortress — a great low-risk commodity investment. Sweetening the pot is a current dividend yield of 3%, with increases 28 years in a row. |
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Commodity Pick 6 – Alliance Resource Partners
Recommended by: Bryan Perry, editor of Cash Machine Alliance Resource Partners L.P. (NASDAQ: ARLP) produces coal for utilities and industry in the U.S. Coal stocks, along with most commodity-related stocks, had pulled back against a strong move up for the dollar in August. Then shares heated up late in the month — including a 12% run from 8/13 to 9/1. But shares appear to be rolling back and could provide investors with a great income play after posting phenomenal second-quarter results. ARLP is a best-in-class coal producer experiencing strong end-market demand for its high-BTU-rated coal. Plus, I expect another hike in the dividend by year-end — adding to an already impressive yield of nearly 6%. I recommend Alliance Resources, but try to buy on dips under $50 for the best performance. |
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Commodity Pick 7 – Canadian National Railway
Recommended by: Richard Young, editor of Intelligence Report Though it may not be your typical commodity stock, I am very bullish on Canadian National Railway (NYSE: CNI). My price charts show that the stock is nearing new highs with more room to run — primarily due to its business transporting energy and materials. CNI saw double-digit growth in its coal, auto, metal and minerals and intermodal freight traffic in its second-quarter earnings report. As our resource-rich neighbors to the north continue to power through the economic downturn, rail stocks moving Canada’s commodities will continue to fare well. Canadian National Railway has a five-year average return of about 15% — very attractive right now and sure to keep your nest egg growing. In July, the board announced the repurchase of 2 million more shares as part of the company’s ongoing 15-million-share repurchase program, so that gives investors even more reason to like CNI. Oh, and don’t forget the 1.6% yield, paid since 1996. |
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