‘Apple Love’ Won’t Fade, but More Profit-Taking is Probable

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Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) has had quite a run, punching through the important $500 level on Monday. Shares are now up nearly 25% year-to-date, with the stock also being up eight straight days through Feb. 14. (Shares closed below $500 yesterday.)

Short-term sentiment readings are off the chart, with the 14-day RSI (relative strength index) over 87. The stock is finally starting to lose a little momentum, with 12-day ROC (price rate of change) starting to curl downward.

From a contrarian perspective, this stock is certainly over-loved here in the short term. While I don’t anticipate AAPL to fall sharply, or even fall much at all, I do look for the momentum to fade and some profit-taking to ensue.

Past post-earnings run-ups have usually displayed a similar pattern, moving up sharply until an area of value is found, followed by sideways trading for a few months. I expect AAPL to follow a similar pattern now, with the stock remaining virtually unchanged around the $505 level by March options expiration. And there are a number of ways to profit from this sideways action in the options markets.

Based on AAPL’s current market price of $497 and using a target price of $505, a target date of March 16, 2012, and $10,000 of investment capital, you can capture some nice gains by selling a call spread, buying a put spread or using another options strategy that best fits your trading style and goals.

For the full details on this trade, visit TradingBlock.com, create a free Instant Login and try the TradeBuilder feature, where you’ll see several ways to trade this name. Best of all, you can see a potential profit-and-loss outline for each strategy.

Create your free login, and get access to the details about these AAPL options trading strategies by visiting the TradeBuilder here.

Tim spent 13 years as Chief Options Strategist at Man Securities in Chicago, four years as Lead Options Strategist at ThinkorSwim and three years as a Market Maker for First Options in Chicago. Tim makes weekly appearances on Bloomberg TV  “Options Insight”, Business First AM “Trader Talk”, TD Ameritade Network “Morning Trade Live” and CBOE-TV “Vol 411” to discuss everything from volatility and option related.


Article printed from InvestorPlace Media, https://investorplace.com/2012/02/apple-love-wont-fade-but-more-profit-taking-is-probable-aapl/.

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