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4 Heavily Shorted Dividend Stocks to Sell

If the shorts are right, these big payouts will be drowned by red ink

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Alon USA Partners

AlonUSAPartners 4 Heavily Shorted Dividend Stocks to SellDividend Yield: 18.7%
Float Short (as of July 31 data): 20.3%

So far, the shorts have been right for our last pick.

Alon USA Partners (ALDW) was spun off from Alon USA Energy (ALJ) late last year. The spinoff hit the markets for $16 per share, and is currently trading 8% lower than the offer price despite a strong start. So far in 2013, the company has lost around 38% of its value.

It’s likely a number of people chased what even initially was a double-digit dividend before realizing what they were piling into. See, the structure of limited partnerships like this one is a double-edged sword. Sure, ALDW is required to pay back most of its earnings to shareholders — which is why the company’s second payout amounted to $1.48 per share — but Alon’s earnings have been taking a huge hit of late, and that results not only in lower payouts but share-price declines thanks to fleeing investors.

The most recent payout was more than cut in half while, in the most recent quarter, the company missing earnings expectations by around 22%. Overall this year, earnings are slated to fall by more than 52%, while 2014′s EPS should take another 45% haircut.

Heck, contracting crude oil differentials contracted have hurt the company so much, a Credit Suisse analyst actually posed this question at the last conference call:

“I’m just wondering if you see yourself in a situation where the cash available for distribution in the third quarter kind of below zero. Would you … try and raise debt to pay out some kind of distribution or what would be your thought process there?”

The fact that such a possibility is being openly discussed is a huge red flag — and should make you realize that an 18% dividend yield might be a lot of things, but it sure isn’t sustainable.

As of this writing, Alyssa Oursler did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.


Article printed from InvestorPlace Media, http://investorplace.com/2013/08/4-heavily-shorted-dividend-stocks-to-sell/.

©2014 InvestorPlace Media, LLC

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