Investors always seek a winning strategy. However, finding such a strategy is easier said than done. When markets are shaken by widespread global growth concerns, it is difficult for even an insightful investor to come up with a foolproof approach.
No matter how disciplined and systematic investors are, equity market volatility will always manage to get the better of them. While a few lucky ones rake in the moolah, others fall victim to ad hoc strategies.
One could resort to commonly used techniques to find beaten down stocks that have the potential to recover faster than others. However, even such investment choices bear the risk of disappointment. Particularly, one could be stuck in a value trap if the hidden weaknesses in selected stock are not identified.
So, wouldn’t it be safer to look for stocks that are winners currently and have the potential to gain further?
Here’s how to execute it:
One should primarily look for stocks that have recently been witnessing price increase. Actually, stocks seeing price strength recently have a high chance of carrying the momentum forward.
If a stock is continuously moving higher, there must be a good reason for the rise or else it probably would have fallen like the losers. So, looking at stocks that have already won the game and are capable of beating the benchmark that they have set is rational.
However, recent price strength alone cannot create magic. Therefore, you need to set other relevant parameters to create a successful investment strategy.
Here’s how you should create the screen to shortlist the current as well as the potential winners.
Percentage Change in Price (4 Weeks) greater than zero: This criterion shows that the stock has moved higher in the last four weeks.
Percentage Change Price (12 Weeks) greater than 10: This indicates that the stock has seen momentum over the last three months. This lowers the risk of choosing stocks that may have drawn attention due to the overwhelming performance of the overall market in a very short period.
Zacks Rank 1: No matter whether market conditions are good or bad, stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) have a proven history of outperformance.
Average Broker Rating 1: This indicates that brokers are also highly hopeful about the stock’s future performance.
Current Price greater than 5: The stocks must all be trading at a minimum of $5.
Current Price/ 52-Week High-Low Range more than 85%: This criterion filters stocks that are trading near their respective 52-week highs. It indicates that these are strong enough in terms of price.
Here are five of the 11 stocks that made it through this screen:
Enova International Inc (NYSE:ENVA) is a provider of online financial services. The stock surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the trailing four quarters with an average positive surprise of 38.3%.
Harsco Corporation (NYSE:HSC) is a services and engineered products company. The stock surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the trailing four quarters, delivering an average positive surprise of 24.4%.
Johnson Outdoors Inc. (NASDAQ:JOUT) is a leading global outdoor recreation company that turns ideas into adventure with innovative, top-quality products. The stock surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the trailing four quarters with an average positive surprise of 602.1%.
DMC Global Inc (NASDAQ:BOOM) provides technical product and process to energy, industrial, and infrastructure markets globally. The company surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate thrice in the trailing four quarters while matching the same on one occasion. It delivered an average positive earnings surprise of 69%.
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd (NASDAQ:MLCO) is a developer, owner and operator of casino gaming and entertainment casino resort facilities primarily in Asia. Last quarter, the company delivered a positive earnings surprise of 17.2%.
Get the rest of the stocks on the list and start putting this and other ideas to the test. It can all be done with the Research Wizard stock picking and backtesting software.
The Research Wizard is a great place to begin. It’s easy to use. Everything is in plain language. And it’s very intuitive. Start your Research Wizard trial today. And the next time you read an economic report, open up the Research Wizard, plug your finds in, and see what gems come out.
Disclosure: Officers, directors and/or employees of Zacks Investment Research may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. An affiliated investment advisory firm may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material.
Disclosure: Performance information for Zacks’ portfolios and strategies are available at: https://www.zacks.com/performance.
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