Run With Bank of America Corp (BAC) Stock Ahead of Earnings

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Second-quarter earnings season kicks off with a bang this upcoming week, as several U.S. banking giants provide earnings reports that Wall Street hopes will spur the next upleg in the current bull market. Among those slated to report is industry leader Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC).

BAC stock traders will want to take note. The stock is looking primed for a breakout after rallying for the past two weeks, driven higher by a 60% dividend hike and a $12 billion stock repurchase program.

Technically, Bank of America has been itching to break above key short-term resistance at $25 for the better part of the past week. BofA shares last tested this region just prior to their first-quarter earnings report back in March, which saw BAC soar to highs last seen in early 2008.

BAC stock chart
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Unlike March, however, BofA’s rally this time is much more controlled. With a little less froth in the water, BAC stock should be able to take out $25 and extend its bull run following next week’s quarterly report.

Speaking of which …

Wall Street is expecting a profit of 43 cents per share from Bank of America, up about 4.8% from the same quarter last year. Revenue is expected to rise 5.4% year over year to $21.91 billion. However, expectations appear to be considerably higher, as EarningsWhispers.com puts the second-quarter whisper number at 48 cents per share, 5 cents better than the consensus.

This optimism is also rampant in the brokerage community, where Thomson/First Call reports that 22 of the 31 analysts following BAC stock rate the shares a “buy” or better. Still, the 12-month consensus price target of $26.39 could use some upward adjustment, as it rests just 7.3% above the shares’ current perch.

Options traders are also quite bullish on BAC stock, especially when it comes to earnings. Currently, the July put/call open interest ratio arrives at 0.5, with calls doubling puts among those options most affected by next week’s quarterly report.

Implieds, meanwhile, are pricing in a move of about 3.6% following next week’s earnings report. That places the upper bound at $25.15, while the lower bound rests at $23.27.

For regular readers, if you got into the Jul $24/$25 bull call spread I recommended back on June 14, you are sitting pretty with a gain of about 50% on the trade. The maximum profit on this trade is just around the corner if you have the risk tolerance to hold on. If not, taking profits now isn’t such a bad thing.

Especially if you plan to roll some of those winnings into today’s trade.

2 Trades for BAC Stock

Call Spread: If Bank of America comes anywhere near the whisper number for its earnings report, the shares are going to rally much more than expected. This is especially true with BAC stock set to break a key technical resistance level at $25.

Traders looking for solid post earnings rally from BAC stock might want to consider the Jul $25/$25.50 bull call spread. At last check, this spread was offered at 7 cents, or $7 per pair of contracts. Breakeven lies at $25.07, while a maximum profit of 43 cents, or $43 per pair of contracts, is possible if BAC stock closes at or above $25.50 when July options expire at the end of next week.

Put Sell: For those more conservative traders, there is always the option of selling premium in the current pre-earnings environment. The Jul $23.50 put sell is a solid offering, and should finish out of the money unless something goes horribly wrong for Bank of America.

At last check, this put was bid at 10 cents, or $10 per contract. The upside, as usual, is that you keep the premium as long as BAC stock closes above $23.50 when these options expire. The downside is that should the stock trade below $23.50 ahead of expiration, you could be assigned 100 shares for each sold put at a cost of $23.50 per share.

As of this writing, Joseph Hargett did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.


Article printed from InvestorPlace Media, https://investorplace.com/2017/07/run-with-bank-of-america-corp-bac-stock-ahead-of-earnings/.

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