Why Are Stocks Up Today?

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  • Fed Chairman Jerome Powell yesterday appeared to rule out interest rate hikes for the foreseeable future. His statements have sent stocks up today.
  • The Fed will drastically lower the amount by which it reduces its bond holdings each month.
  • The decelerated reductions of the Fed’s balance sheet will push down borrowing costs throughout the economy.
stocks up today - Why Are Stocks Up Today?

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Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments yesterday signaled that the central bank probably won’t lift interest rate hikes for the foreseeable future. The statements are sending stocks up today. Investors were also likely pleased by the Fed’s decision to drastically lower the amount by which it reduces its bond holdings each month.

The chairman said he believes that the central bank’s next change to its benchmark interest rate probably will not be an increase. He added that, in order to raise rates, the Fed would have to believe that its current positions cannot lower inflation to its 2% goal in the long term. “That’s not what we’re seeing,” he stated.

The Fed Will Slow the Pace of Its Bond Cutbacks

For nearly two years, the Fed has reduced the amount of Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities that it owns by “up to $60 billion… and up to $35 billion” per month, respectively. The central bank has done this by not using the money that it obtains from its maturing bonds to buy new ones.

Beginning next month, the Fed will only reduce its holdings of Treasurys by $25 billion. That change is likely to put significant downward pressure on Treasury rates, which, in turn, determine borrowing costs throughout much of the economy.

The U.S. Treasury Launches a Buyback Program

Another factor that could be pushing stocks up today is the U.S. Treasury’s decision to launch a buyback program. Under the initiative, the department will conduct weekly repurchases of $2 billion of regular Treasurys and as much as $500 million of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, or TIPS.

These repurchases will also probably push down Treasury rates, thus lowering borrowing rates throughout the economy.

On the date of publication, Larry Ramer did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

Larry Ramer has conducted research and written articles on U.S. stocks for 15 years. He has been employed by The Fly and Israel’s largest business newspaper, Globes. Larry began writing columns for InvestorPlace in 2015. Among his highly successful, contrarian picks have been SMCI, INTC, and MGM. You can reach him on Stocktwits at @larryramer.


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