The REAL Reason Lucid Motors (LCID) Stock Is Down 15% Today

  • Lucid Motors (LCID) announced disappointing production numbers and lowered its 2023 outlook.
  • The company is facing problems with its supply chains.
  • Will the Saudis pull the plug?
LCID stock - The REAL Reason Lucid Motors (LCID) Stock Is Down 15% Today

Source: Around the World Photos /

Lucid Motors (NASDAQ:LCID) stock fell after lowering production guidance for its electric cars, cutting prices, and reducing pre-order figures.

In response, Bank of America pulled its “buy” rating on the stock.

Lucid was a star of January’s market rally, doubling in price. Since then, it has lost half of those gains. Lucid came public at about $25 per share in late 2021. It was due to open on Feb. 23 at about $8.60 per share.

Royal Patronage

Optimism reigned over Lucid because it is backed by the Saudi government, which means it should have adequate capital to scale production. The company’s Lucid Air luxury sedan also drew strong reviews.

But the fourth quarter numbers, with under 3,500 cars produced and fewer than 2,000 delivered, fell short of estimates.

Lucid said on Feb. 22 that it would deliver just 10,000-14,000 cars this year due to supply chain issues. It had been estimating deliveries of 20,000-22,000. Lucid ended 2022 with $4.9 billion in total liquidity but is losing $938 million of cash flow each quarter.

The Saudis have been backing Lucid on its promise to build a factory in the desert kingdom. Right now, all its facilities are in Arizona. The supply chain issues slowing production and raising costs might be worse in the Middle East than in the U.S., where battery production is rapidly increasing.

Traders at Stocktwits were dismissive of Lucid. After listening to CEO Peter Rawlinson’s earnings call Gary Black, managing partner for the Future Fund, compared Lucid to the Titanic.

Becoming a car company isn’t as easy as designing and building a car. Scaling production is the goal. When Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) faced the scaling problem in 2018, CEO Elon Musk famously slept at his factory to manage the ramp-up.

LCID Stock: What Happens Next?

There is said to be a floor under Lucid stock, namely the price the Saudis would pay to take over the company. But that floor may disappear unless Lucid can figure out production scaling and managing its supply chain.

On the date of publication, Dana Blankenhorn held no positions in any companies mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the Publishing Guidelines.

Dana Blankenhorn has been a financial and technology journalist since 1978. He is the author of Technology’s Big Bang: Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow with Moore’s Law, available at the Amazon Kindle store. Tweet him at @danablankenhorn, connect with him on Mastodon or subscribe to his Substack.

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