Is a Giant Short Squeeze Brewing in Novavax (NVAX) Stock?

  • Vaccine maker Novavax (NVAX) is rising again.
  • It says it can meet FDA recommendations for a new Covid-19 vaccine in September.
  • There’s also a short squeeze developing.
NVAX stock - Is a Giant Short Squeeze Brewing in Novavax (NVAX) Stock?

Source: benjamin poturak /

Vaccine maker Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX) saw its shares jump 18% on June 5 and another 20% in pre-market trade this morning. NVAX stock is up over 300% year-to-date.

Novavax also said it will be able to deliver an updated Covid-19 vaccine in September, made without the use of controversial mRNA technology.

More important to investors may be the fact that over 36% of Novavax shares are now being held short, including over half traded off listed exchanges.

NVAX stock is due to open today at $24.10 per share, a market capitalization of about $3.6 billion on 2023 revenue of $656 million.

Vaccine or Short Squeeze?

Novavax has been here before. In early 2021, at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic, its shares traded at over $300.

But Novavax lost the race to deliver its vaccines to Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) and Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA). Shares fell to below $10 in 2023.

Pfizer stock has barely moved in the last 24 hours, but Moderna is up 10% Its stock price has risen by nearly $15/share, adding $5 billion to its market cap.

Now, with the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in the midst of updating recommendations for a new strain called KP.2, Novavax is soaring again. The agency wants all new Covid vaccines this fall to cover the JN.1 lineage. As fellow contributor Josh Enomoto reports, Covid-19 remains a serious health threat.

Talk show host Peter Sagal recently missed a show because of Covid. Singer Linda Ronstadt is just getting her speaking voice back after a bout with Covid earlier this year.

However, its vaccine may not be the main catalyst. The sentiment at Stocktwits has turned bullish, with some traders celebrating the high short interest as evidence the stock can go further. Some are warning their friends, however, that quick profits can disappear fast, recommending they put their winnings here in something safer.

NVAX Stock: What Happens Next?

Novavax is trading far above its fundamental value, even with the latest good news priced in.

As of this writing, Dana Blankenhorn had a LONG position in MRNA. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the Publishing Guidelines.

Dana Blankenhorn has been a financial and technology journalist since 1978. He is the author of Technology’s Big Bang: Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow with Moore’s Law, available at the Amazon Kindle store. Tweet him at @danablankenhorn, connect with him on Mastodon or subscribe to his Substack.

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