After months in the doldrums, the financials are catching a tailwind again. In fact, the Financial Select SPDR (NYSE: XLF) has just crossed over its 50-day moving average for the first time since December 1 and has been a leading sector group for the broad market over the past week. This ends more than three months of relative underperformance.
To be sure, investors in the sector have had a lot to worry about lately — from regulatory “stress tests” to limited shareholder capital returns and new capital reserve requirements. Now these factors seem to have been adequately discounted and buying interest is beginning to return.
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SPDR KBW Regional Banking Index (NYSE: KRE)
In particular, regional banks are perking up. Many of these — including my top 2011 pick Zions Bancorp (NASDAQ: ZION) — aren’t encumbered by the kind of political pressure and legacy assets that weigh down the likes of Citigroup (NYSE: C). You can see this in the way the Regional Banking SPDR (NYSE: KRE) is perking up and moving out of its five-month consolidation range. Foreign banks are also on the move.
Here’s a look at my two favorite stocks in the group — stocks that I believe hold the most promise in the days and weeks to come.
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First Midwest Bancorp (NASDAQ: FMBI)
First Midwest Bancorp (NASDAQ: FMBI) is a community bank based in Illinois that specializes in commercial lending in the Chicago area — an area of economic strength thanks to the rising price of agricultural commodities and a rebound in manufacturing activity in the region. Shares are moving up and out of a long four-month consolidation range and look ready to enjoy its first sizable uptrend since late 2009.
Washington Federal (NASDAQ: WFSL) is a $14 billion thrift bank headquartered in Seattle which serves six western states. The bank has made impressive progress on boosting earnings as foreclosure-related losses on its mortgage portfolio fall. Obviously, management is feeling confidence because not only was the dividend recently raised but the bank’s latent stock repurchase program was restarted.
Disclosure: Anthony has recommended KRE and FMBI to his newsletter subscribers.
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