Sell Walmart Inc Amid Stiff Competition and Ho-Hum Results

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Walmart stock - Sell Walmart Inc Amid Stiff Competition and Ho-Hum Results

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Four distinct forces probably contributed to Walmart Inc’s  (NYSE: WMT)  disappointing results and guidance, as well as the slowdown in the growth of its e-commerce sales. None of these forces is likely to decelerate any time in the near-term. Consequently, Walmart’s results will probably continue to be lackluster or worse going forward.

Meanwhile, the valuation of WMT stock is still high compared to that of other major retailers. That’s despite the retreat of Walmart stock in the wake of the results. Consequently, investors should sell their WMT stock.

While shopping at a Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT) store in northern Virginia on Monday night, I learned that Target is allowing consumers to buy products in its stores for the same prices that a number of its competitors, including WMT, are charging online. This policy has been in place at Target for some time. However, I never heard of it, even though I shop at Target once every two or three months.

Indeed, I only learned about the policy because on Monday I saw someone using it. A customer ahead of me in Target’s checkout line took out his phone and got a significant discount by showing the cashier that Walmart was charging about 30% less than Target had displayed. I received a discount of about 50%  on the laptop case I purchased by showing the cashier the price that Walmart was charging for the same product.

Like me, many consumers have probably only learned recently about Target’s price-matching policy. It’s very possible that many such customers who had previously shopped at Walmart for its low prices have now switched to Target. The latter company has superior service and better in-store ambience. Since more customers will probably learn about the policy going forward, this negative catalyst will in all likelihood intensify in coming quarters.

Walmart Stock Faces Competition

Increases in the number of other discount stores are probably hurting WMT.  For example, Dollar General Corp (NYSE:DG) was looking to open 900 stores this year, while Family Dollar Stores, Inc (NYSE:FDO) planned to open “hundreds” of new stores. And discount grocery chain Aldi intended to add 180 stores in 2018, Business Insider reported.
These store openings have probably already begun this year,  creating additional competition for Walmart and negatively impacting its guidance. Of course, this trend will intensify as the year goes on.

Finally, the proliferation of Amazon.com, Inc.‘s (NASDAQ:AMZN) Alexa virtual assistant could be hurting Walmart.  Extremely popular Alexa, according to analysts, has given Amazon a significant boost. Although Walmart has countered by partnering with Alphabet Inc’s (NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL) virtual assistant, Amazon has a meaningful first mover advantage over Google in this area. Some consumers who buy Alexa products may be shifting from Walmart to Amazon.

 Walmart Stock’s Unattractive Valuation

 With a forward price to earnings ratio of around 17, Walmart stock is not very cheap. Other major retailers are less expensive, as Target has a forward price to earnings ratio of 14, while Kohl’s Corporation’s (NYSE:KSS) forward P/E ratio is below 14 and Macy Inc’s (NYSE:M) forward price to earnings ratio is around 8.5.
Walmart is facing multiple powerful, negative catalysts. These probably contributed to its recent earnings and guidance miss, as well as the deceleration of its e-commerce business.

Meanwhile, the valuation of Walmart stock isn’t cheap. These negative catalysts will probably linger and intensify going forward,  so investors should sell WMT stock immediately.
As of this writing, Larry Ramer did not own the shares of any of the stocks mentioned. 

Larry Ramer has conducted research and written articles on U.S. stocks for 15 years. He has been employed by The Fly and Israel’s largest business newspaper, Globes. Larry began writing columns for InvestorPlace in 2015. Among his highly successful, contrarian picks have been SMCI, INTC, and MGM. You can reach him on Stocktwits at @larryramer.


Article printed from InvestorPlace Media, https://investorplace.com/2018/02/sell-walmart-inc-wmt-stock-stiff-competition-hohum-results/.

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