Dear SMCI Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for Aug. 6

  • Super Micro Computer (SMCI) fell 10% in under 24 hours during yesterday’s tech selloff.
  • It is due to release June quarter earnings on Aug. 6.
  • Beating estimates could send the stock flying again.
SMCI stock - Dear SMCI Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for Aug. 6

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Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI) stock lost over 10% of its value in just 24 hours during the latest tech selloff.

But it may take off again on Aug. 6.

That’s when its latest quarterly earnings are due. Another tech stock caught in the downdraft, ServiceNow (NASDAQ:NOW), bounced back overnight after beating earnings estimates. SMCI may do the same.

SMCI was due to open this morning at about $693 per share, its market capitalization about $40.6 billion.

The Nvidia Trade

SMCI stock rose this year thanks to its relationship with Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA). SMCI sells racks of Nvidia GPUs to data centers, where demand has skyrocketed.

However, dependence on the artificial intelligence (AI) leader is a double-edged sword. SMCI stock was selling for nearly $1,200 per share in March. But quarter-to-quarter sales growth slowed to 5% during that quarter. After those numbers came out on April 30, SMCI mostly traded sideways until the latest downdraft.

Fellow InvestorPlace contributor Thomas Niel recently suggested investors buy SuperMicro ahead of the release, as lowered estimates may be easier to beat. The view of traders at Stocktwits has turned extremely bearish, while analysts at TipRanks consider it a moderate buy.

Niel hoped that SMCI would pre-announce results before the official release date. But SMCI chose not to do that. It did, however, move up the delivery of its numbers from Aug. 13. The lack of a pre-announcement may be contributing to bearish sentiment.

Analysts are hoping for net income of $7.63 per share in the June quarter, compared with $3.43 per share a year ago. March quarter earnings were $6.56 per share.

SMCI Stock: What Happens Next?

Regardless of how the numbers come out, SMCI has been very, very good to investors lately. The stock was selling for under $270 as recently as last December, and nothing grows to the sky without a pullback.

As of this writing, Dana Blankenhorn had a LONG position in NOW. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

On the date of publication, the responsible editor held a LONG position in NVDA.

Dana Blankenhorn has been a financial and technology journalist since 1978. He is the author of Technology’s Big Bang: Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow with Moore’s Law, available at the Amazon Kindle store. Tweet him at @danablankenhorn, connect with him on Mastodon or subscribe to his Substack.


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