Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) Stock Will Have a Breakout Year in 2017

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Cisco stock - Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) Stock Will Have a Breakout Year in 2017

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Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO) was hit with a recent setback that’s reminiscent of its choppy ride in the second half of the year. On Wednesday, federal court jurors in San Jose, California handed a victory to fierce CSCO rival Arista Networks Inc (NYSE:ANET). According to a Reuters report, CSCO was seeking $335 million in damages due to “copyright infringement of its user interfaces.”

However, jurors were not convinced that Cisco’s unique user interface technologies were developed solely as a result of the company’s creativity. Cisco Systems Inc CSCO

Instead, Arista’s attorneys successfully defended against CSCO by deploying the “scenes a faire” argument.

This states that, in certain circumstances, an idea cannot be expressed unless it incorporates specific elements. These elements then no longer have the traditional copyright protection of exclusivity. Not surprisingly, Cisco stock absorbed a small loss of value following the verdict.

More so than the actual impact of the lawsuit is its implications. As noted by InvestorPlace writer Tom Taulli, the biggest challenge facing Cisco stock is competition. In the company’s primary networking business, the company faces industry giants such as Juniper Networks, Inc. (NYSE:JNPR) and Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co  (NYSE:HPE). Worse yet, the pool of potential CSCO customers is shrinking as Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) are developing their own networking solutions.

As to be expected, the big boys have taken their toll fundamentally on Cisco stock. The technology company took a sizable blow in its hardware and router business for the most recent quarter. Switching to other sectors hasn’t always resulted in consistent success, either. Even there, industries such as network security are dominated by firms like Palo Alto Networks Inc (NYSE:PANW) and Fortinet Inc (NASDAQ:FTNT). No matter which way it goes, CSCO stock will face a tough road.

Cisco Stock Has the Right Stuff

That said, no company is guaranteed an easy path. Even if a business is flourishing today, competition is only right around the corner. Since digital networking isn’t exactly a proprietary function, the next best thing for an investor is to find a financially sturdy player. There’s going to be a lot of tumbles, as the recent verdict demonstrates, but Cisco stock is one of those names that’s built like a linebacker.

This simply means that CSCO stock can take it just as much as it can dish it. There’s a lot to like in the balance sheet — rising cash levels, controlled inventory, and investments in physical infrastructure. That tells me that management is serious about strategy and vision, providing confidence for long-term holders of Cisco stock. Also, CSCO has excellent free cash flow, so the administration aspect of the business is about as close to worry-free as you can get.

I’m especially impressed by Cisco’s financial discipline. Profitability margins continue to lead the industry, and are well in line with historical averages. Too many times in the broader tech sector we see organizations that are doing relatively well today, but poorly against prior results. This is not so with Cisco stock. Because of this discipline, shares are also undervalued against trailing earnings.

Should You Buy CSCO Stock?

Based on the fundamentals, CSCO stock looks like an incredible buy. While the networking icon is having a great 2016 — shares are up 13% year to date — Wall Street consensus isn’t quite so enthusiastic. Yes, the majority of covering analysts are bullish on Cisco stock, but, there’s a sizable number with “hold” ratings. For the fence-sitters, they view the $30 level as technical resistance. Indeed, shares only got into trouble this year after it breached this level.

Cisco stock, CSCO
Source: Source: JYE Financial, unless otherwise indicated

From 2001-2007, the average price dropped to $17.49. This year, CSCO stock has largely traded above $28. So, bear in mind that when the issue of “technical resistance” comes up it’s an arbitrary comparison. The bigger picture shows that the Cisco stock rally is serious business.

I’m also loving the fact that in the current decade we have seen three double-digit annual returns for CSCO stock, inclusive of this year. That achievement matches what we saw in the entire 2000’s decade. But, the context is even more important.

In the past decade, those monster returns succeeded monster losses. This time around, none of the double-digit performances followed negative returns. In other words, this is a sustainable rally, not a reactionary one.

Now we have to set expectations straight — I doubt that Cisco stock is going to make you rich overnight. It’s an industry giant in a competitive and saturated environment. But, this is exactly what makes CSCO stock compelling. No one’s going to play nice in tech. If you’re gonna be in a gunfight, it’s best to have some armor.

As of this writing, Josh Enomoto did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.

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A former senior business analyst for Sony Electronics, Josh Enomoto has helped broker major contracts with Fortune Global 500 companies. Over the past several years, he has delivered unique, critical insights for the investment markets, as well as various other industries including legal, construction management, and healthcare. Tweet him at @EnomotoMedia.


Article printed from InvestorPlace Media, https://investorplace.com/2016/12/cisco-systems-inc-csco-stock-breakout-year-2017/.

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